Defensor Sporting vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
48%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CSY
2 - 2
DEF
43%
26%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
JUN
0 - 1
DEF
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PLA
0 - 1
DEF
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 3
LFC
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FEN
3 - 1
DEF
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CER
0 - 0
NAC
24%
26%
50%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
RIV
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
RAC
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
SUD
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 0
JUN
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |