Defensor Sporting vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
47.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 2
DEF
32%
27%
42%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 2
LFC
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
REN
0 - 1
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
DEF
3 - 2
DAN
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
PEÑ
5 - 1
DEF
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 2
NAC
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
ETS
74%
17%
10%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CER
1 - 0
NAC
26%
26%
49%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 2
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |