Defensor Sporting vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
44.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 1
RAC
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
DAN
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 0
JUN
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
MWA
1 - 1
DEF
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 2
ATE
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
PAL
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
NAC
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 2
LQE
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 2
LQE
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 0
PEÑ
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |