Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
4 - 0
DEF
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
LAN
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 1
VIL
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
LAN
0 - 0
DEF
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LFC
2 - 1
DEF
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MWA
1 - 0
ETS
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CER
1 - 0
MWA
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MWA
0 - 1
JUV
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PLA
1 - 1
MWA
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MWA
5 - 1
RIV
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |