Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
FEN
1 - 1
DEF
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
DEF
3 - 1
BOS
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
JUN
1 - 2
DEF
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 2
LIG
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 2
ETS
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
LFC
1 - 1
PLA
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
LFC
2 - 0
ETS
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
FEN
1 - 1
LFC
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
LFC
2 - 3
BOS
39%
27%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
LFC
1 - 0
PLA
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |