Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
REN
0 - 1
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
DEF
3 - 2
DAN
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
PEÑ
5 - 1
DEF
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 3
RAC
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SUD
2 - 0
DEF
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LFC
0 - 1
ETS
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CER
1 - 0
LFC
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LFC
1 - 3
JUV
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PLA
1 - 0
LFC
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LFC
1 - 4
MWA
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |