Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MWA
0 - 4
DEF
36%
27%
38%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 2
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 1
DEF
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
DEF
3 - 0
ETS
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
DAN
2 - 2
LFC
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LFC
1 - 0
CER
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
ENV
1 - 1
LFC
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
4 - 3
LFC
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
LFC
3 - 1
CSC
66%
20%
13%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |