Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
MWA
2 - 2
DEF
38%
27%
36%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 2
DEF
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CER
1 - 4
DEF
31%
28%
42%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 1
RAC
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
DEF
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
CEL
1 - 0
LFC
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
LFC
2 - 0
RAC
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
MWA
0 - 0
LFC
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
LFC
2 - 0
CER
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CEN
0 - 0
LFC
25%
25%
50%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |