Defensor Sporting vs La Luz FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
DEF
3 - 1
PRO
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 1
DEF
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DEF
2 - 3
REN
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 0
DEF
33%
28%
38%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 1
DAN
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
La Luz FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
LUZ
1 - 0
PEÑ
26%
29%
45%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
LUZ
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
JUN
2 - 3
LUZ
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SUD
3 - 0
LUZ
24%
27%
49%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 3
LUZ
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |