Defensor Sporting vs Juventud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 4
DEF
29%
27%
45%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 0
LFC
58%
23%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MWA
0 - 4
DEF
36%
27%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 2
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
DAN
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CER
2 - 0
JUV
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 0
CEN
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 0
JUV
78%
15%
8%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 1
BOS
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |