Defensor Sporting vs Deportivo Maldonado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
10º
14º
11º
0
15º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 13 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 11 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 10 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 9 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 9 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 8 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 8 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 7 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 7 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
2 | 5 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 5 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 2 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 2 |
15º
|
50% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
DEF
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DEF
1 - 2
RAC
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CER
1 - 1
DEF
38%
28%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
DEF
1 - 2
JUN
54%
23%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
DEF
43%
27%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Maldonado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 3
MWA
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 1
LFC
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 1
RIV
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BOS
1 - 0
DEP
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MWA
1 - 0
DEP
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |