Defensor Sporting vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
4º
1º
11
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
BOS
0 - 1
DEF
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
DEF
3 - 0
LUZ
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 0
MWA
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
DEF
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
DAN
1 - 0
PEÑ
26%
27%
47%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
BOS
1 - 0
DAN
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
EME
2 - 1
DAN
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
LUZ
0 - 2
DAN
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
DAN
1 - 0
TOR
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |