Defensor Sporting vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 0
CEL
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DEF
4 - 0
BVS
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
FEN
1 - 3
DEF
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CER
2 - 0
BVS
46%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CER
0 - 2
CEN
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CER
1 - 2
FEN
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
RIV
0 - 1
CER
69%
18%
12%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ETS
2 - 1
CER
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |