Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1992 |
DEF
0 - 1
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1990 |
RIV
2 - 1
DEF
85%
10%
5%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1990 |
DEF
1 - 2
RIV
29%
28%
44%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1990 |
DEF
0 - 4
PRO
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1990 |
DEF
3 - 1
MIN
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1992 |
AME
0 - 2
CCP
47%
24%
30%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1991 |
OLI
3 - 0
CCP
60%
23%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1991 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1991 |
CCP
2 - 0
OPE
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1991 |
OPE
1 - 1
CCP
43%
25%
33%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |