Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
7º
6º
17
4º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 0
DEF
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 0
TOR
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
DEF
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LUZ
1 - 1
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
DEF
3 - 0
MWA
62%
22%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 3
LUZ
42%
27%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MWA
1 - 1
CEL
48%
28%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 0
FEN
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DAN
2 - 0
CEL
42%
30%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 2
NAC
29%
28%
44%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |