Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
DAN
0 - 1
DEF
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 1
MWA
61%
21%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CER
2 - 3
DEF
33%
28%
40%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 3
DEF
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
DEF
5 - 1
RAC
69%
20%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 0
CER
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 0
CSC
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 3
RIV
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BVS
1 - 2
CEL
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
JUN
0 - 3
CEL
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |