Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 1-1
Defensor Sporting vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1994 |
DEF
1 - 1
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1994 |
DEF
0 - 0
COL
45%
25%
31%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1994 |
NAC
1 - 1
DEF
72%
18%
11%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1994 |
COL
2 - 0
DEF
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1994 |
UNI
1 - 0
DEF
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
BOC
3 - 3
VEL
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1994 |
VEL
0 - 1
HUR
59%
25%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1994 |
PAL
4 - 1
VEL
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1994 |
GLP
3 - 2
VEL
32%
31%
37%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1994 |
VEL
2 - 0
CRZ
55%
26%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |