Defensor Sporting vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1977 |
BOC
2 - 0
DEF
82%
12%
7%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1977 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
85%
10%
5%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1977 |
DEF
0 - 0
BOC
35%
24%
41%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1977 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
DEF
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1977 |
RIV
1 - 2
VEL
69%
18%
12%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1977 |
SLO
1 - 3
RIV
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1977 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
RIV
44%
26%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1977 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
85%
10%
5%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
RIV
5 - 3
CAU
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |