Defensor Sporting vs Bella Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
11%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
FEN
1 - 3
DEF
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 1
DEF
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
DEF
3 - 1
DAN
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 0
RAC
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BVS
0 - 1
CEL
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MWA
0 - 1
BVS
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BVS
0 - 0
FEN
45%
27%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
BVS
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
RIV
0 - 2
BVS
71%
18%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |