Defensor Sporting vs Boston River analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
DEF
3 - 1
DAN
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
PRO
3 - 1
DEF
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 2
PEÑ
26%
25%
48%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
RIV
2 - 1
DEF
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
DEF
1 - 1
JUV
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
BOS
1 - 1
PRO
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
DAN
1 - 2
BOS
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
BOS
0 - 0
NAC
24%
26%
50%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 0
BOS
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
BOS
0 - 0
RIV
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |