Defensor Sporting vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
DEF
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 2
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 0
DEF
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
DEF
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
ATE
2 - 0
DUR
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
DUR
1 - 2
ATE
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
ATE
3 - 2
PRO
41%
26%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
PRO
2 - 1
ATE
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
ATE
3 - 1
REN
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |