Defensor San Alejandro vs Sport Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor San Alejandro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 3
DEF
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
DEF
5 - 1
AUN
42%
27%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 1
DEF
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 0
ATL
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
DEF
3 - 0
ACR
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 0
ACR
65%
20%
14%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SBO
2 - 1
SPO
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 1
LOS
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LOS
2 - 0
SPO
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 1
ALF
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |