Defensor San Alejandro vs Pacífico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor San Alejandro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 1
DEF
46%
27%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 1
COM
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
WAL
0 - 1
DEF
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 3
LOS
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
MUN
2 - 1
DEF
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pacífico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
PAC
3 - 0
MAN
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SBO
2 - 2
PAC
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
GAR
3 - 0
PAC
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
PAC
1 - 5
ALI
37%
30%
33%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
VAL
2 - 0
PAC
56%
26%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |