Defensor San Alejandro vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor San Alejandro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
WAL
0 - 1
DEF
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 3
LOS
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
MUN
2 - 1
DEF
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 1
SPO
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 3
DEF
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
COM
2 - 1
WIL
53%
22%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 1
COM
38%
23%
39%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
COM
3 - 1
COM
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
COM
2 - 0
COM
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
AGP
4 - 1
COM
46%
24%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |