Defensor San Alejandro vs Los Caimanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
33%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor San Alejandro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
MUN
2 - 1
DEF
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
DEF
0 - 1
SPO
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 3
DEF
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
DEF
5 - 1
AUN
42%
27%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 1
DEF
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Los Caimanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LOS
3 - 0
ACR
76%
17%
7%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
SBO
0 - 2
LOS
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LOS
1 - 1
LOS
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
LOS
0 - 3
LOS
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LOS
1 - 0
ALF
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |