Defensor Lima vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
54.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1973 |
CCP
5 - 0
SPC
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1973 |
OLI
1 - 0
SPC
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1973 |
UNI
0 - 1
SPC
57%
20%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1973 |
SPC
1 - 1
CCP
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1973 |
SPC
1 - 0
OLI
57%
20%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |