Defensor Lima vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
20.9%
70.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
19.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
17.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1974 |
DEF
1 - 0
UCO
33%
26%
41%
|
34 | 74 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
DEF
2 - 1
NAC
25%
22%
53%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1974 |
SPC
0 - 2
DEF
82%
11%
6%
|
31 | 72 | 41 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
0 - 0
DEF
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 72 | 42 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
UCO
1 - 0
DEF
85%
10%
6%
|
30 | 74 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
MIL
0 - 0
SAO
31%
28%
40%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1974 |
SAO
0 - 1
SCI
55%
26%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1974 |
SAO
0 - 0
ATP
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1974 |
SAO
1 - 1
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1974 |
GOI
1 - 1
SAO
34%
27%
39%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |