Defensor La Bocana vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor La Bocana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 0
BOC
45%
28%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 1
AYA
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 1
BOC
47%
26%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAN
3 - 2
BOC
41%
24%
35%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BOC
2 - 0
CAN
46%
24%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
COM
0 - 3
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
ALI
4 - 1
COM
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
COM
2 - 1
GAR
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
COM
5 - 2
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
GAR
2 - 1
COM
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |