Defensor La Bocana vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor La Bocana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
BOC
0 - 2
GAR
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 2
BOC
58%
25%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
BOC
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 3
VAL
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 0
BOC
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
AUR
0 - 2
MUN
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
GAR
1 - 1
AUR
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 1
AUR
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 1
MEL
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SPC
3 - 0
AUR
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |