Defensor La Bocana vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
36.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor La Bocana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
SPC
2 - 5
BOC
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
BOC
0 - 3
AUR
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
BOC
0 - 2
GAR
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 2
BOC
58%
25%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
BOC
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
MEL
0 - 0
GAR
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MUN
0 - 0
MEL
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 0
COM
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 3
MEL
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 0
SPC
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |