Defensor Cubillas vs La Masía Nace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Cubillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 0
DCE
61%
19%
20%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DCE
2 - 1
JIN
46%
24%
30%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
JIN
1 - 1
DCE
37%
22%
41%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DCE
1 - 2
GRA
22%
20%
58%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LAM
0 - 1
DCE
32%
21%
47%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
La Masía Nace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
LAM
0 - 5
DRJ
16%
18%
66%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RAN
2 - 0
LAM
54%
23%
23%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
LAM
0 - 1
RAN
34%
22%
44%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DRJ
2 - 1
LAM
66%
18%
16%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LAM
0 - 1
DCE
32%
21%
47%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |