Defensor Arica vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
54.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1970 |
ARI
0 - 1
AME
15%
22%
63%
|
15 | 64 | 49 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1970 |
UNI
2 - 1
ARI
81%
12%
8%
|
15 | 75 | 60 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
LIG
1 - 2
ARI
83%
11%
7%
|
15 | 76 | 61 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1970 |
AME
1 - 1
ARI
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 66 | 52 | +1 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
LIG
4 - 1
AME
69%
17%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
LIG
1 - 2
ARI
83%
11%
7%
|
76 | 15 | 61 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
LIG
2 - 0
UNI
58%
19%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |