Defensor Arica vs América Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
62.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1970 |
UNI
2 - 1
ARI
81%
12%
8%
|
15 | 75 | 60 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
LIG
1 - 2
ARI
83%
11%
7%
|
15 | 76 | 61 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1970 |
AME
1 - 1
ARI
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 66 | 52 | +1 |
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
LIG
4 - 1
AME
69%
17%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
AME
0 - 3
UNI
44%
22%
34%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1970 |
AME
1 - 1
ARI
89%
8%
3%
|
66 | 14 | 52 | 0 |