Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 2-1
Defensa y Justicia vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
20.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
COL
2 - 0
DYJ
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
DYJ
0 - 0
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
CCS
2 - 2
DYJ
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
DYJ
1 - 1
LQE
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
DYJ
0 - 3
COL
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 1
VAS
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
VAS
0 - 0
FOR
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SPO
0 - 2
VAS
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
VAS
0 - 1
PAL
18%
26%
56%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
CFC
0 - 0
VAS
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |