Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 3-2
Defensa y Justicia vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
DYJ
0 - 3
COL
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
LQE
1 - 2
DYJ
30%
27%
42%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
DYJ
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
DEL
3 - 0
DYJ
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
DYJ
2 - 1
OLI
29%
25%
47%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
GEN
0 - 1
LQE
28%
26%
45%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
LQE
1 - 2
DYJ
30%
27%
42%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
LQE
2 - 0
RPA
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
CCP
2 - 0
LQE
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
RPA
0 - 0
LQE
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |