Defensa y Justicia vs Sportivo Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 0
DYJ
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
DYJ
0 - 2
OLI
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
SMA
1 - 1
DYJ
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
DYJ
3 - 1
RAF
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 1
DYJ
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 3
INS
22%
27%
52%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
GIM
0 - 1
ITA
70%
20%
11%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
ALB
5 - 4
ITA
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 3
OLI
21%
27%
52%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SMA
4 - 0
ITA
70%
20%
11%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |