Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 1-1
Defensa y Justicia vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 0
DYJ
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
HUR
2 - 0
DYJ
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
DYJ
1 - 0
NOB
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
ARS
2 - 2
DYJ
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
DYJ
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LIN
0 - 2
SAO
18%
24%
59%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAO
20%
24%
56%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
COR
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAO
20%
24%
56%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
ITU
81%
14%
5%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | -1 |