Defensa y Justicia vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
TFE
2 - 0
DYJ
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2009 |
CAU
1 - 0
DYJ
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
DYJ
2 - 0
GIM
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
DYJ
1 - 3
INS
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 1
DYJ
29%
29%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
SMA
0 - 2
INS
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
SMA
1 - 0
ITA
67%
21%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 0
SMA
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
SMA
2 - 2
OLI
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
SMA
2 - 1
SMA
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |