Defensa y Justicia vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
DYJ
2 - 0
COL
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 2
DYJ
24%
25%
51%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
DYJ
2 - 1
AMF
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DYJ
1 - 0
INS
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 3
DYJ
29%
27%
44%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
FEN
62%
24%
15%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 2
PEÑ
21%
26%
54%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
MIL
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
DAN
58%
25%
17%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CEL
0 - 0
PEÑ
23%
27%
50%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |