Defensa y Justicia vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
TIG
1 - 1
DYJ
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
DYJ
0 - 1
AME
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
DYJ
4 - 2
CHA
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
ARG
2 - 1
DYJ
43%
28%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
DYJ
0 - 1
VEL
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
PAT
3 - 0
CHA
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
VEL
0 - 2
PAT
59%
24%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
PAT
0 - 0
GOD
29%
27%
45%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
LAN
1 - 1
PAT
62%
24%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
PAT
1 - 0
OLI
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +2 |