Defensa y Justicia vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
DYJ
0 - 0
ALD
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
GIM
0 - 0
DYJ
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
DYJ
0 - 1
CAU
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
TFE
0 - 0
DYJ
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
DYJ
1 - 1
ATT
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
PAT
0 - 1
MER
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ALD
4 - 1
PAT
51%
26%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2010 |
PAT
0 - 0
FER
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
GIM
1 - 0
PAT
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
PAT
1 - 0
CAI
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |