Defensa y Justicia vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2012 |
DYJ
1 - 0
ATT
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
ALD
0 - 0
DYJ
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
DYJ
4 - 2
HUR
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
FER
1 - 0
DYJ
38%
30%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
DYJ
1 - 2
MER
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
SAR
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 3
CHI
20%
26%
54%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 0
PLA
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 1
CHI
24%
28%
48%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
TEM
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |