Defensa y Justicia vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
GIM
2 - 0
DYJ
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
DYJ
1 - 3
INS
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
DYJ
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DYJ
1 - 0
GLP
44%
27%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
RIV
2 - 2
DYJ
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
GBR
0 - 1
DES
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 2
GBR
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
GBR
2 - 0
PAT
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 2
GBR
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
GBR
0 - 2
ATT
46%
26%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |