Defensa y Justicia vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
CAI
0 - 1
DYJ
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
DYJ
2 - 3
CAU
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2007 |
RAF
2 - 0
DYJ
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
DYJ
1 - 1
GOD
31%
28%
42%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
DYJ
2 - 0
CAU
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
FER
1 - 0
CHI
17%
26%
57%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SMA
1 - 1
FER
69%
21%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
FER
1 - 0
QUI
18%
25%
57%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +2 |
| 11 Jul. 2007 |
FER
1 - 1
EST
34%
30%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
EST
0 - 0
FER
55%
26%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |