Defensa y Justicia vs CA Estudiantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
DYJ
1 - 0
OLI
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 2
DYJ
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BAN
2 - 2
DYJ
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
DYJ
2 - 1
MER
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
DYJ
2 - 1
HUR
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
AND
68%
20%
11%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
MOR
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
SUA
2 - 0
EST
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
EST
3 - 2
COM
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
EST
2 - 0
RIE
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |