Conmebol Sudamericana Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 3-1
Defensa y Justicia vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
EME
1 - 2
DYJ
33%
26%
42%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
CAU
2 - 0
DYJ
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
DYJ
3 - 0
SAR
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
DYJ
1 - 0
CES
91%
8%
1%
|
85 | 37 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
GOD
2 - 2
DYJ
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 0
EME
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
EME
1 - 2
DYJ
33%
26%
42%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
EME
0 - 0
SPC
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
SPC
0 - 1
EME
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
EME
2 - 1
DAN
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |