Defensa y Justicia vs Douglas Haig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 1
DYJ
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DYJ
2 - 3
IRV
55%
24%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PAT
4 - 0
DYJ
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
DYJ
2 - 5
ATT
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 1
DYJ
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
DHA
0 - 1
FER
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CDN
2 - 1
DHA
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
DHA
2 - 1
INS
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
DHA
1 - 1
ALM
32%
31%
37%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
IRV
1 - 0
DHA
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |