Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
DYJ
2 - 1
HUR
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 2
DYJ
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
DYJ
1 - 1
SAR
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
MER
2 - 1
DYJ
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
DYJ
0 - 1
CEN
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
GLP
2 - 0
MER
62%
24%
14%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
MER
1 - 2
ALD
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
GIM
2 - 0
MER
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
MER
2 - 1
DYJ
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
FER
0 - 0
MER
43%
31%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |