Defensa y Justicia vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
PLA
1 - 1
DYJ
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
DYJ
3 - 1
FER
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CAI
1 - 3
DYJ
42%
29%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
DYJ
4 - 4
IRV
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
SMA
1 - 0
DYJ
50%
28%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 1
INS
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ITA
3 - 0
BEL
29%
29%
42%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 0
ALB
48%
28%
24%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 0
BEL
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 3
SMA
51%
28%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |