Defensa y Justicia vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 1
DYJ
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
DYJ
1 - 4
ALD
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
MER
2 - 1
DYJ
27%
30%
43%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
DYJ
3 - 1
BUC
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
BEL
2 - 0
DYJ
52%
27%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2010 |
RAF
1 - 0
INS
50%
25%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
3 - 1
RAF
18%
27%
55%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
RAF
4 - 1
ALB
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 2
RAF
44%
28%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
RAF
0 - 0
SMA
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |